Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel costs


(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated average equivalent sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had predicted given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' sales prices have been negatively affected by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel rate throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not reduced and renewable product market value premiums have actually stayed weak," the company added.


Industry executives and analysts have stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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